The Chicago Sky, the reigning champions, are assured of one of the top two spots in the upcoming WNBA playoffs. The rebuilding Indiana Fever are the only team out of contention. Everything else is up for grabs.
The final week of the WNBA’s regular season should be a showcase of the parity and chaos the league has seen all season. Six of the league’s 12 teams are battling for the final three playoff spots, and the teams that have already clinched are still jockeying for seeding.
At the top of the standings, the Sky are 25-8 and hold a two-game lead in the race for the No. 1 seed. Chicago can fall no further than a No. 2 seed after a win Sunday over the Connecticut Sun, but it will still need to hold off the Las Vegas Aces, who spoiled Sue Bird’s final regular-season game at Climate Pledge Arena with a win over the Seattle Storm. Chicago and Las Vegas face off Thursday in their final regular-season meeting.
The Sun are solidly in the third spot but could still overtake the Aces for the No. 2 seeds. A bigger battle is brewing below them, though, as Seattle and the Washington Mystics fight for home-court advantage in what is almost certain to be the playoff matchup between the No. 4 and no. 5 seeds. The Storm are at a scheduling disadvantage, with games on the road against Chicago and Las Vegas surrounding a trip to Minneapolis. The Mystics, meanwhile, finished with two games against the last-place Fever and played their final regular-season game at home.
Of the teams hoping to clinch one of the final playoff spots, the Dallas Wings are in the best shape. They hold a 16-16 record with four games remaining — all against teams that sit below them in the standings. Dallas could clinch a berth with a win in either of its two games this week against the Liberty, the first of which was scheduled for Monday night.
Below the wings, though, the race is wide open. With three games left for each, the Atlanta Dream and Phoenix Mercury are tied at 14-19, although the Dream owns the head-to-head tiebreaker. The Liberty are 13-19 with four games left, and the Minnesota Lynx and Los Angeles Sparks are hanging on at 13-20.
Both the Dream and the Mercury have been without key players down the stretch: Atlanta guard Tiffany Hayes has missed three games with an ankle injury, while Phoenix was without both Skylar Diggins-Smith and Diana Taurasi in its Saturday win over New York. The Liberty had finally gotten healthy as Betnijah Laney returned to action two months after knee surgery, but forward Natasha Howard went down with an ankle injury.
Those injuries could leave the door open for the 10th-place Lynx: They hold the season tiebreakers over Phoenix and the Liberty, and they play the Mercury in a must-win game Wednesday. But the rest of Minnesota’s schedule is daunting, with games at home against Seattle and on the road against Connecticut. In its favor is the comeback of Napheesa Collier, who returned Sunday less than three months after giving birth. (A motivating factor for her was the chance to play again with Sylvia Fowles, who is retiring at the end of the season.)
Finally, the Sparks may face the most difficult path to a playoff berth, for reasons on and off the court. Los Angeles had been in position for the No. 6 seed after a July 21 win over the Dream. But with drama swirling as four-time All-Star Liz Cambage left the team, the Sparks dropped six games in a row to fall to 11th place.
A win Sunday against the Mystics kept their hopes alive. But they must play back-to-back games this week against the third-place Sun before finishing up against the surging Wings. And making matters worse, the Sparks were caught up in a travel nightmare while trying to leave Washington.
After their flight was delayed and then canceled, some members of the Sparks spent the night in the airport when there were not enough hotel rooms for all players. Nneka Ogwumike, a former league MVP, said a video posted on Twitter“It’s the first time in my 11 seasons that I’ve ever had to sleep in the airport.”